Scientists established a camp on Thwaites to drill into the ice for ocean measurements, succeeding briefly despite weather delays, crevasses, and shifting ice; instruments revealed turbulent, warm waters beneath driving melt.
Location and Size
Located in West Antarctica on the Walgreen Coast of Marie Byrd Land, east of Mount Murphy; spans an area comparable to Florida.
Flows as an outlet glacier from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet into the Amundsen Sea, channeling vast inland ice.
Significance to Sea Levels
Recently contributes about 4% of annual global sea-level rise (around 3.4 mm/year total); full collapse could raise levels by 65 cm short-term, or up to 3.3 meters if it triggers West Antarctic Ice Sheet loss over centuries.
Vulnerable due to proximity to warm ocean currents eroding its underside, especially after grounding line retreat forming vast underwatercavities.
Research History
Nicknamed "Doomsday" for instability risks; monitored for decades with faster flow and retreat noted since 2020s.
2020-2022 efforts included prior drilling; 2026 marked first measurements under main trunk, despite partial failures from ice movement.
Volcanoes beneath West Antarctica may influence dynamics, concentrated in Marie Byrd Land.
Key Risks
Potential destabilization of neighboring glaciers and full West Antarctic Ice Sheet, with irreversible sea-level impacts even from past warming.​
Turbulent basal waters confirm ongoing erosion, demanding more missions for precise forecasts.